Published in 1997, The Sovereign Individual outlined a future in which individuals would transcend traditional nation-states.
Now, fast forward to today. Your so-called “belonging” in a nation-state has already transformed beyond recognition.
For those with foresight, now is the time to prepare for what’s to come. So what will citizenship look like in 50 years? How will humans migrate and invest across the world?
In this article, I take a stab at both questions and unveil my preparation strategy.
What The Sovereign Individual Got Right (and Wrong)
More than 25 years ago in 1997, the authors of The Sovereign Individual William Rees-Mogg and James Dale Davidson predicted a future where technological advancements would dismantle international borders and the traditional relationship between individuals and nation-states.
Astonishingly, they were correct about many facets of modern life.
The book foresaw the rise of the internet, the creator economy, remote work, cryptocurrency and the blockchain, digital nomadism, and the citizenship by investment industry (CBI), where individuals bypass borders, invest in other countries, and are rewarded with citizenship.
In the past, that international lifestyle was accessible only to the wealthiest of high-net-worth individuals. But today, capitalism and technology have afforded those same benefits to the common man, the crypto pioneers, and the digital nomads across the world. A Rwandan tribesman with just an internet connection can compete with the best of the best in New York City.
However, Rees-Mogg and Davidson didn’t predict the future 100% correctly. In 1997, who would have?!
While technology has, of course, empowered millions (if not billions) to live more globally, the power of the state has persisted far longer than they anticipated. The writers foresaw greater autonomy and independence of the individual in the future, but welfare states and federal governments have not ceded as much power as they assumed.
Now in 2024, corporations and the wealthy have learned to avoid excessive taxation by relocating across international borders, accessing private crypto technologies to secure their wealth, creating offshore financial strategies, and other means. Governments have responded to this mobility and financial decentralization by strengthening financial regulations, naturalization requirements, banking frameworks, and CBI due diligence.
Despite these governments’ attempts to coerce the rich, we expect to see shrinking federal tax bases and more aggressive government financial incentives to recruit them. So Rees-Mogg and Davidson’s predictions will come true; it may just take longer than expected.
And, in that tension lies opportunity.
The Growth of the Citizenship by Investment (CBI) Industry
In 1984 St. Kitts & Nevis, a Caribbean island with a population of about 47,000, was the first independent country to offer investors naturalized citizenship for a donation or real estate purchase in their territory. And thus, began the CBI industry.
The Sovereign Individual predicted the rise of this CBI industry. As countries recognized the demand for flexible citizenship and migration options, their forward-thinking leaders created programs that allowed motivated individuals to acquire citizenship in exchange for investment in their country and economy.
For families facing negative political influence or economic uncertainty in their home country, these programs offered a new kind of security.
Another citizenship in one’s backpocket is an effective insurance policy to reduce risk, as illustrated by the flag theory. If you were to hold your assets, residence properties, citizenship, bank accounts, businesses, and income streams in different countries, you’d reduce your risk of theft, market downturns, and rogue governments.
Think about it. You’d be unstoppable if you had …
- Citizenship in the United Kingdom and the United Arab Emirates
- Businesses incorporated in the Cayman Islands and the United States
- Residency permits in Malaysia and Panama
- Homes in Argentina and Italy
- Bank accounts in Hong Kong and Cyprus
Blockchain, cryptocurrency, and digital assets – The wealthy now have new ways to guarantee their personal sovereignty. And if their wealth lives in a decentralized system, why should their citizenship be tied to a single state?
Dependence on a single authority for all elements of your life is a death march.
The CBI industry has grown rapidly, especially since 2020 when many realized their desire for a Plan B (or Plan A for that matter). However, its limitations are becoming clear. Governments are tightening their rules, and the overbearing influence of organizations like the EU has resulted in higher investment thresholds, overly scrutinized due diligence, and more challenges.
Is the shift from citizenship by investment to residence by investment (RBI) underway?
The Shift from CBI to RBI
If the last decade saw an explosion in the CBI industry, I think the next 50 years will be defined by the residence by investment (RBI) model. Why? Because families and individuals don’t just want the freedom to move – they want the security of belonging without the scrutiny of a CBI case.
RBI provides a middle ground – Access to residency with the option to naturalize without all the undue scrutiny of CBI.
Plenty of countries around the world offer permanent residence by investment programs. For good reason, Portugal’s golden visa is the most popular while the following countries offer their own versions of RBI:
- Canada
- Cyprus
- Greece
- Malaysia
- Malta
- Mexico
- Panama
- Spain
- Thailand
- United Arab Emirates
- United States
Why Portugal? Portugal has become a hotspot for digital nomads, high-net-worth individuals, and crypto holders looking to secure European residency because of its …
- climate;
- Mediterranean lifestyle;
- potentially low taxes (especially compared to the rest of Europe);
- low physical presence requirements (7 days in the first year, then 14 days each subsequent two-year period);
- right to reside, work, conduct business, and access education and healthcare services across 27 European Union member states;
- five-year pathway to naturalization;
- among many other benefits.
Through the Portugal golden visa, applicants can choose to invest €500,000 in venture capital or private equity funds or indirectly in bitcoin via the Unbound Fund, the world’s first Golden Visa Fund focused on Web3 technology.
The trend towards RBI reflects a deeper evolution in how families plan for the future. Unlike CBI’s one-time commitment, potential due diligence issues, and upfront costs, RBI provides flexibility and a possible return on your investment without immediate naturalization.
CBI was the solution for the last 20 years, but the future lies in flexible residence options that allow families to continue living their lives uninterrupted without attachment to one single place. There’s something Rees-Mogg and Davidson missed.
What Will Citizenship Look Like in 50 Years?
As the sovereign individual weens off the government, they realize they didn’t need it as much as they may have thought they did.
I’ve noticed this. Have you?
In a few decades, citizenship of a state will look and feel fundamentally different than it does today.
Individuals won’t depend on just one citizenship. Instead, individuals will be global citizens. Decentralized citizenship will be mainstream, and they’ll carry several passports and wield their influence as such across the world.
Citizenship will be more fluid.
Citizenship will be less political.
Citizenship will help us navigate financial and geopolitical uncertainty.
You and I will be an amalgamation of values from the cultures we choose to propagate, rather than only those passed down from our ancestors. This doesn’t mean a loss of values, but rather the emergence of new values.
In the future, we’ll see the idea of citizenship undergo a dramatic transformation. I hope this is the case. Emerging technologies, political shifts, and digital assets will change the very fabric of what it means to “belong” to a country.
Individuals will carry digital passports, securely and privately stored on the blockchain, allowing them to manage their assets across multiple jurisdictions. Nations will compete for productive citizens, offering incentives like lower taxes, digital services, political influence, and a quality of life that matches their needs. All the while, creating a unique investor profile for the investors they want to recruit.
We will adopt a portfolio approach to citizenship, holding multiple residencies and multiple citizenships across multiple regions to reduce risk.
A home in Portugal for its EU benefits.
A residence in the Caribbean for tax optimization.
An Asian base to tap into new business opportunities.
Citizenship will be less about allegiance to one state. Citizenship will be more about eliminating dependence on authorities and jurisdictions altogether and choosing to spend time in the places that serve our interests.
How to Prepare for the Future of Citizenship
So, how can you prepare for a future where citizenship is fluid, mobile, and decentralized?
- Invest in CBI/RBI Programs — Secure multiple long-term residence permits in stable jurisdictions. For example, invest indirectly in Bitcoin through Portugal’s golden visa Unbound Fund and get residency rights across the European Union.
- Use Decentralized Technologies — Your citizenship and finances should reflect your independence from the state. So, manage your assets and influence through decentralized financial systems like Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, and other blockchain technologies.
- Stay Mobile — Flexibility and openness are key. With growing geopolitical and market uncertainty, march into new opportunities with the ability to adapt at any moment.
With this approach, you position yourself, your family, and your finances to thrive. The future is bright for those willing to invest in their sovereignty and extend their influence across jurisdictions.
In the next 50 years, citizenship will evolve from a static legal identity tied to a single state to a fluid, flexible system. But not for everyone. That depends on you.
The state will not make this transition for you. They want your tax revenue. In fact, they’ll make flexibility more difficult for you to obtain if you don’t act now.
Plan wisely.
Invest in the right jurisdictions and decentralized assets.
Become ungovernable.
Become sovereign.